ðÒÏÇÎÏÚ óÏÌÎÅÞÎÏÊ áËÔÉ×ÎÏÓÔÉ
2024/05/13
25 ãéëì óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé,
÷åô÷ø òïóôá: æáúá íáëóéíõíá
ïâúïò óïóôïñîéñ óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé, çåïüææåëôé÷îùè ñ÷ìåîéê
é éè ÷ïúäåêóô÷éê îá ïëïìïúåíîïå ëïóíéþåóëïå ðòïóôòáîóô÷ï
îá ðåòéïä 06.05.2024 - 12.05.2024 Ç.
é ðòïçîïú îá 13.05.2024 - 20.05.2024 Ç.
ëüòòéîçôïîï÷óëéå ïâïòïôù 2283(09,24.04.2024)-2284(06,49.05.2024)
úåíìñ ÷îå ðìïóëïóôé óïìîåþîïçï üë÷áôïòá
(BÏ: (-3.6 - -2.9) ÇÒÁÄ)
(ÚÏÎÁ ÇÅÏÜÆÆÅËÔÉ×ÎÏÓÔÉ S33 - N27)
ðñôîïïâòáúï÷áôåìøîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø óïìîãá âùìá îá ÷ùóïëïí õòï÷îå.
òáóþ³ôîïå óòåäîåå úîáþåîéå íåöäõîáòïäîïçï ïôîïóéôåìøîïçï þéóìá óïìîåþîùè
ðñôåî úá ðåòéïä óïóôá÷éìï W=156+30/-14 (WÓ=104+20/-10). ðï ÷éäéíïíõ äéóëõ
óïìîãá ðòïèïäéìï 18 çòõðð ðñôåî ( AR13663 - âïìøûïê ðìïýáäé, AR13664 -
çéçáîôóëïê), éú îéè 9 âùìé ÷ àöîïí ðïìõûáòéé.
îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå ðñôîïïâòáúï÷áôåìøîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø ïöéäáåôóñ îá óòåäîåí,
÷ùóïëïí é ïþåîø ÷ùóïëïí õòï÷îñè. óòåäîåå ïöéäáåíïå úîáþåîéå þéóìá óïìîåþîùè
ðñôåî úá ðåòéïä W=160+60/-60.
÷óðùûåþîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø âùìá îá ÷ùóïëïí é ïþåîø ÷ùóïëïí õòï÷îñè. ÷ ôåþåîéå
îåäåìé îáâìàäáìéóø 10 ÷óðùûåë òåîôçåîï÷óëïçï ëìáóóá X, 74 ÷óðùûëé ëìáóóá
M, éú îéè 8 âïìøûéè (>M5), 46 ÷óðùûåë ëìáóóá C, 3 ÷ùâòïóá óïìîåþîùè ÷ïìï-
ëïî é 69 ëïòïîáìøîùè ÷ùâòïóï÷ ÷åýåóô÷á, éú ëïôïòùè 2 âùì ôéðá IV (ÕÇÌÏ×ÁÑ
ÛÉÒÉÎÁ 270-360 ÇÒÁÄ), 1-ôéðá III (180-270 ÇÒÁÄ) é 9-ôéðá II (90-180 ÇÒÁÄ).
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÷óðùûëé âáììï÷ ïô í1 (É ÏÔÄÅÌØÎÙÅ ÚÎÁÞÉÍÙÅ ×ÓÐÙÛÅÞÎÙÅ ÓÏÂÙÔÉÑ ÍÅÎØÛÅÇÏ ÂÁÌÌÁ):
to tm te ËÏÏÒÄÉÎÁÔÙ ÂÁÌÌ å(1-8A) AO RII/IV CME/to
ÒÅÎÔ/ÏÐ J/m-2 |km/s
20240506 0047 0106 0120 N24W30L036 M1.6/3B 1.6E-02 13663
20240506 0509 0528 0538 N25W37L036 M1.3/3B 2.0E-02 13663
20240506 0538 0635 0652 N25W35L036 X4.5/3B 5.4E-01 13663
20240506 0949 0959 1004 N24W38L036 M1.5/3B 8.9E-03 13663
20240506 2137 2148 2327 N26W40L036 M1.3/2N 1.3E-02 13663
20240506 2158 2227 2243 N27W42L036 M4.3 1.2E-01 13663
20240507 0041 0058 0123 N25W45L036 M2.7/SF 5.6E-02 13663
20240507 0558 0616 0634 N27W45L036 M5.2 2.2E-03 13663
20240507 0818 0831 0853 S18E05L338 M1.3/SN 1.5E-02 13668
20240507 1120 1150 1218 S22W01L350 M2.5/2N 2.9E-03 13664
20240507 1243 1254 1259 N25W54L036 M1.5 4.6E-03 13663
20240507 1316 1325 1343 N25W53L036 M1.0 1.1E-02 13663
20240507 1332 1335 1339 N26W56L036 M1.0 4.8E-03 13663
20240507 1621 1630 1657 N25W55L036 M8.2/SF 3.0E-02 13663
20240507 1958 2022 2034 S21W05L350 M2.1 6.1E-03 13664
20240507 2113 2126 2142 N26W57L036 M3.3 6.6E-03 13663
20240507 2142 2159 2221 S22W07L350 M3.3 5.0E-02 13664
20240508 0133 0141 0201 N25W60L036 X1.0/1B 4.7E-02 13663
20240508 0159 0206 0216 S17W04L338 M1.1 13668
20240508 0216 0227 0236 S17W04L338 M3.4 2.9E-02 13668
20240508 0319 0327 0338 S22W11L350 M2.0/SF 4.2E-03 13664
20240508 0338 0342 0346 S20W05L350 M2.0 13664
20240508 0420 0430 0449 S21W09L350 M3.6/3B 13664
20240508 0437 0509 0528 S22W11L350 X1.0/3B 6.3E-03 13664 II/3|0887 CME/0600
IV/2
20240508 0644 0653 0710 S20W17L350 M7.2/3B 13664
20240508 0729 0741 0923 N27W59L036 M4.5/1F 5.1E-02 13663
20240508 0931 0937 0942 N25W65L036 M1.9 1.2E-02 13663 IV/1
20240508 0943 0948 0956 N24W65L036 M2.1/SF 1.6E-02 13663
20240508 1109 1122 1231 N25W65L036 M4.1/SF 1.4E-02 13663
20240508 1126 1204 1222 S20W11L350 M8.7/3B 13664 CME/1224
20240508 1431 1443 1508 N28W65L036 M1.1 13663
20240508 1732 1753 1938 S16W12L338 M7.9/2N 5.8E-02 13668
20240508 1814 1836 1851 N26W69L036 M2.9/1F 7.4E-03 13663
20240508 1915 1921 1929 S20W15L350 M2.0 1.6E-02 13664
20240508 2027 2034 2039 S19W15L350 M1.8 1.2E-02 13664
20240508 2108 2140 2158 S20W17L350 X1.0 5.3E-01 13664 CME/2236
20240508 2204 2227 2330 S23W21L350 M9.9 3.2E-01 13664 IV/3
20240509 0307 0317 0412 S21W23L350 M4.0/1B 8.7E-03 13664
20240509 0323 0332 0349 S22W23L350 M4.6 5.3E-02 13664
20240509 0444 0449 0522 S22W27L350 M1.7/SF 4.8E-03 13664
20240509 0603 0613 0631 S22W30L350 M2.3 5.0E-03 13664
20240509 0624 0627 0631 S22W25L350 M2.5 13664
20240509 0830 0840 0845 N26W78L036 M2.1 13663
20240509 0845 0913 0931 S20W24L350 X2.3/3B 4.4E-01 13664 II/2|1004 II/0924
IV/3
20240509 1152 1156 1202 S16W39L350 M3.1 1.4E-02 13664
20240509 1205 1212 1220 S17W31L350 M2.9/1N 2.4E-02 13664
20240509 1316 1323 1329 S17W32L350 M3.7/1N 1.9E-02 13664
20240509 1723 1744 1859 S17W28L350 X1.1/2B 1.6E-01 13664 II/3|303 CME/1907
IV/2
20240509 2115 2121 2125 N26W88L036 M1.0 5.9E-03 13663
20240509 2208 2215 2234 N27W88L036 M1.0 2.2E-03 13663
20240509 2224 2241 2247 S16W45L350 M2.6 4.0E-03 13664
20240509 2254 2308 2313 S11E>90 M1.2/SF 3.0E-03
20240509 2344 2351 2355 S23W35L350 M1.6 3.5E-03 13664
20240510 0010 0018 0022 S22W36L350 M1.5 9.6E-03 13664
20240510 0315 0329 0346 S13E>90 M1.5 4.7E-03
20240510 0614 0624 0627 S19W35L350 M1.4 13664
20240510 0623 0654 0857 S17W34L350 X4.0/2B 4.4E-01 13664 II/3|489 II/0712
IV/2
20240510 1010 1014 1019 S21W43L350 M2.2 1.0E-02 13664
20240510 1358 1411 1428 S15W39L350 M6.0/1N 5.6E-02 13664
20240510 1826 1832 1838 S20W48L350 M1.1 3.3E-03 13664
20240510 1838 1848 1907 S17W44L350 M1.8 2.1E-02 13664
20240510 1857 1905 1910 S17W43L350 M2.0/1F 4.6E-03 13664
20240510 1935 1953 1956 S19W51L350 M1.1/1F 1.6E-02 13664
20240510 1956 2003 2019 S20W48L350 M1.9/1F 2.2E-02 13664
20240510 2059 2108 2112 S17W45L350 M3.8/1F 1.8E-02 13664
20240511 0110 0123 0139 S17W44L350 X5.8/2B 6.4E-01 13664 II/3|564 CME/0136
IV/2
20240511 0428 0440 0451 S18W48L350 M1.4/SF 13664
20240511 1003 1018 1034 S20W58L350 M3.1 4.6E-02 13664
20240511 1053 1056 1100 S19W56L350 M1.6 6.2E-03 13664
20240511 1115 1144 1201 S19W60L350 X1.5/2B 2.6E-01 13664
20240511 1320 1349 1429 S19W59L350 M1.8/1N 2.1E-02 13664
20240511 1446 1525 1543 S17W50L350 M8.9/2N 2.0E-01 13664 CME/1612
20240511 1624 1643 1735 S17W54L350 M3.0 13664
20240511 2032 2041 2047 S20W63L350 M1.2 8.0E-03 13664
20240512 0041 0045 0052 S20W66L350 M3.2/SF 1.6E-02 13664
20240512 0537 0552 0610 N19E>90 M2.4/SF 2.9E-02
20240512 1227 1241 1301 S17W68L350 M1.7/SF 1.9E-02 13664
20240512 1338 1347 1349 S17W70L350 M1.0/SF 5.1E-03 13664
20240512 1346 1356 1413 S20W74L350 M1.6/SF 1.6E-02 13664
20240512 1611 1626 1655 S20W75L350 X1.0/1F 9.6E-02 13664
20240512 2017 2032 2127 S20W78L350 M4.9/SN 2.6E-03 13664
20240512 2201 2206 2212 S16W80L350 M1.1/SF 3.5E-03 13664
20240512 2214 2218 2224 S17W81L350 M1.1/SF 6.3E-03 13664
20240512 2300 2310 2316 S20W79L350 M1.0/SF 5.5E-03 13664
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÷ùâòïóù óïìîåþîùè ÷ïìïëïî:
Bó÷* to te localization l × ÇÒÁÄ. Fl AO CMEÔÉÐ/to
20240508 1752 1840 N12E12 38 CME/1924
20240510 >0111 >1306 S38E13 40
20240511 0730 1351 EPL 0.16 13664
* - ×ÙÂÒÏÓÙ ÓÏÌÎÅÞÎÙÈ ×ÏÌÏËÏÎ (DSF, EPL)
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îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå ÷óðùûåþîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø ïöéäáåôóñ îá ÷ùóïëïí, óòåäîåí é
îéúëïí õòï÷îñè.
îá ÷éäéíïí äéóëå óïìîãá îáâìàäáìéóø çåïüææåëôé÷îùå ëïòïîáìøîùå äùòù
ó ëïïòäéîáôáíé:
ÚÎÁË N ËÏÎÅÃ å ËÏÎÅÃ S ËÏÎÅÃ W ËÏÎÅÃ Sch ïëð R G KA
CH + N40L326 N23L312 N17L325 N35L340 4.0% 11-12.05 1 - SDO, HINODE
CH*- S28L322 S43L307 S45L309 S32L336 1.1% 11-12.05 1 - SDO, HINODE
* - ÎÉÚËÁÑ ÇÅÏÜÆÆÅËÔÉ×ÎÏÓÔØ, ×ÏÚÍÏÖÎÙ ÔÏÌØËÏ ÓÕÂÂÕÒÉ Ó ÄÌÉÔ. <6 Þ.
Sch - ÐÌÏÝÁÄØ ëä × % ÐÌÏÝÁÄÉ ×ÉÄÉÍÏÊ ÐÏÌÕÓÆÅÒÙ ×ÂÌÉÚÉ ÃÅÎÔÒÁÌØÎÏÇÏ ÍÅÒÉÄÉÁÎÁ
ÐÏ https://www.solarmonitor.org/; n/d - ÎÅÔ ÄÁÎÎÙÈ; ïëð - ÄÁÔÁ ×ÅÒÏÑÔÎÏÇÏ
ÇÅÏÍÁÇÎÉÔÎÏÇÏ ×ÏÚÍÕÝÅÎÉÑ × ïëð; R - ×ÏÚÒÁÓÔ × ÏÂÏÒÏÔÁÈ óÏÌÎÃÁ; G(0-5)-
ÇÅÏÍÁÇÎÉÔÎÁÑ ×ÏÚÍÕÝ£ÎÎÏÓÔØ ÎÁ ÐÒÏÛÌÏÍ ÏÂÏÒÏÔÅ (ÓÒÅÄÎÉÅ ÛÉÒÏÔÙ); A - ×ÏÚÍÕ-
Ý£ÎÎÁÑ ÇÅÏÍÁÇÎÉÔÎÁÑ ÏÂÓÔÁÎÏ×ËÁ.
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÷ ôåþåîéå îåäåìé úåíìñ ðòåéíõýåóô÷åîîï îáèïäéìïóø ÷ ðïìïöéôåìøîïí óåëôïòå
íåöðìáîåôîïçï íáçîéôîïçï ðïìñ ó ðåòéïäéþåóëéíé ðåòåèïäáíé ÷ ïôòéãáôåìøîùê
óåëôïò ÷ óåòåäéîå ðåòéïäá. óìåäõàýáñ óåëôïòîáñ çòáîéãá "+/-" ïöéäáåôóñ
13-14.05.2024.
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íáê 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 íáê
Wus 148 144 142 170 156 148 186
F10.7 171 204 227 233 223 214 222
Xbcg C2.4 C3.8 C6.1 C5.1 C5.2 C5.7 C4.9 GOES
Sp 1470 1350 1890 1680 3110 2530 2460 msh
N 1 0 0 2 0 3 4
IMF sign + + + + +/- +/- + DSCOVR,ACE
e>2 1.4E+6 1.7E+6 2.7E+6 4.6E+6 2.1E+6 2.3E+6 4.5E+6 GOES
Ie>2 170 154 151 199 176 119 289 pfu
Ap 16 6 5 5 116 274 56 nT
Dst -351 -412 -159 nT KIOTO
Amsc 19 9 8 6 99 255 42 nT IZMIRAN
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IÅ>2 - ÐÉËÏ×ÙÊ ÐÏÔÏË ÜÌÅËÔÒÏÎÏ× Ó å>2 MeV × pfu (e/(cm2-sr-s)) × ÔÅÞÅÎÉÅ
ÓÕÔÏË (ÓÏÂÙÔÉÑ Ó ÐÏÔÏËÏÍ >=1000 pfu);
e>2 - ÎÁËÏÐÌÅÎÎÙÊ ÚÁ ÓÕÔËÉ ÐÏÔÏË ÜÌÅËÔÒÏÎÏ× ÎÁ ÇÅÏÓÔÁÃÉÏÎÁÒÎÙÈ ÏÒÂÉÔÁÈ
ÐÏ ÄÁÎÎÙÍ GOES 18 × e/(cm2-sr-day).
Pr>10 Mev: to 10.05/0100 UT, tmax 10.05/1740, Ipmax 207 pfu, te 11.05/0140
Pr>10 Mev: to 11.05/0140 UT, t1max 11.05/0240, Ip1max 23.8 pfu,
t2max 11.05/0910, Ip2max 116 pfu, × ÒÁÚ×ÉÔÉÉ...
Pr>100 Mev: to 11.05/0200 UT, t1max 11.05/0240, Ip1max 5.0 pfu,
t2max 11.05/0710, Ip2max 7.8 pfu, te 12.05/0030
ðïôïëï÷ üìåëôòïîï÷ ó å>2 MeV ÷ùûå õòï÷îñ 1000 pfu îå îáâìàäáìïóø.
13-15 íáñ ÷ïúíïöîï ðòå÷ùûåîéå ðïôïëïí üìåëôòïîï÷ ó å>2 MeV ðïòïçá 1000 pfu
÷óìåäóô÷éå ðòïäïìöéôåìøîïçï ðåòéïäá çåïíáçîéôîùè ÷ïúíõýåîéê é ÷ïúäåêóô÷éñ
íîïçïþéóìåîîùè óíå.
6-9 íáñ çåïíáçîéôîáñ ïâóôáîï÷ëá íåîñìáóø ïô ÷ïúíõýåîîïê äï óðïëïêîïê. 10.05
ó ðòéèïäïí íåöðìáîåôîïê õäáòîïê ÷ïìîù (SI-108nT 10.05/1645 UT) ðòïéúïûìá íáç-
îéôîáñ âõòñ ó ÷îåúáðîùí îáþáìïí. 10-12 íáñ âùì äïóôéçîõô üëóôòåíáìøîùê õòï÷åîø
çåïíáçîéôîùè ÷ïúíõýåîéê (G5, Ams=249, ÄÌÉÔ=45 Þ ðï äáîîùí ãåîôòá ÷ âïõìäåòå),
(G5, Ams=211, ÄÌÉÔ=48 Þ ðï äáîîùí ãåîôòá ÷ ðïôóäáíå) é (G5, Ams= 188, ÄÌÉÔ=
48 Þ ðï äáîîùí éúíéòáî) éú-úá ðïóìåäï÷áôåìøîïçï ÷ïúäåêóô÷éñ íîïçïþéóìåîîùè
óíå 08.05/0548, 08.05/1248, 08.05/1924, 08.05/2128, 09.05/0924, 09.05/1907,
10.05/0712. ÷ ëïîãå äîñ 12 íáñ ðïóìå ûåóôéþáóï÷ïçï ðåòåòù÷á îáþáìáóø íáìáñ
íáçîéôîáñ âõòñ (G2, Ams=59, ÄÌÉÔ=15 Þ ðï äáîîùí ãåîôòá ÷ âïõìäåòå), õíåòåî-
îáñ íáçîéôîáñ âõòñ (G2, Ams=68, ÄÌÉÔ=12 Þ ðï äáîîùí ãåîôòá ÷ ðïôóäáíå) é
íáìáñ íáçîéôîáñ âõòñ (G1, Ams = 31, ÄÌÉÔ >21 Þ, ÐÒÏÄÏÌÖÁÅÔÓÑ, ðï äáîîùí
éúíéòáî) ÷óìåäóô÷éå óï÷íåóôîïçï ÷ïúäåêóô÷éñ óíå ïô 11.05/0136 é ÷ùóïëï-
óëïòïóôîïçï ðïôïëá ïô ëïòïîáìøîïê äùòù ðïìïöéôåìøîïê ðïìñòîïóôé.
13-15 íáñ çåïíáçîéôîáñ ïâóôáîï÷ëá âõäåô ïóôá÷áôøóñ ÷ïúíõýåîîïê ó îåâïìøûýê
÷åòïñôîïóôøà ÷ïúîéëîï÷åîéñ íáìïê íáçîéôîïê âõòé ÷óìåäóô÷éå ðòïäïìöáàýåçïóñ
÷ïúäåêóô÷éñ óíå. ÷ ïóôáìøîïê ðåòéïä çåïíáçîéôîáñ ïâóôáîï÷ëá ïöéäáåôóñ ïô
óðïëïêîïê äï óìáâï÷ïúíõýåîîïê.
ïâúïò é ðòïçîïú óïóôá÷ìåî ðï íáôåòéáìáí óìõöâù óïìîãá
âïõìäåò, óûá http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
ãåîôòá óâïòá é ïâòáâïôëé óïìîåþîùè éîäåëóï÷,
âòàóóåìø, âåìøçéñ http://sidc.oma.be/,
éúíéòáî (ôòïéãë, òïóóéñ) http://www.izmiran.ru.
÷.î.éÛËÏ×, î.é.ìÅÂÅÄÅ×, í.î.ìÅÂÅÄÅ×
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